4.61. Waiver Wednesday: The AfterDraft

We went with NFL network. Afterwards I decided that my family draft would go with NFL network. This was after the letter. The letter changed everything.

I should start with an explanation of how this all went down. I joined a friend’s league and discovered that I was really rusty at drafting fantasy. I did not tell myself this. The system told me so. It said, “Giants are Forever was positioned nicely with a favorable draft pick, but put together a team that will need to overachieve according to the pundits” It went on to explain that I would likely go 1-12 with the one win only being in the 52% range of chance of victory. In other words, it talked a ton of trash. That talk continued into the new league draft where I knocked off some of the rust to move from a C rated 1-12 possibility to a 6-8 B ranked draft with a 56% chance of victory for my best possible victory. The AI went on to note, “After drafting fifth in the opening round, Last G Standing will look to outperform their post-draft prognostication. ” More smack.

Here is the thing though: all of this is based on the projections and other drafts and all sorts of possibilities that go out of the window when the cleats come on. All we can ever do is guess in this kind of thing and that guess doesn’t often account for new offensive rules and strategies and players aging or moving or when in the season people play vs. when they rest or mature or any number of things that impact the game.

I don’t believe the draft recap, but I enjoy the hype and the fun of the thing. I think I drafted well in both drafts. I know I took more chances in the first one. I took a flyer on Kyler Murray and amassed 4 QBs in that particular draft. In the second PPR based league I grabbed Lamar Jackson as my chance guy and added a few other guys I think will get me volume points. One more I am considering is Hunter Renfrow. He seems poised to get points as AB is a huge target.

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