Most Fantasy drafts are taking place between this and next weekend and owners are scrambling to decide what to do after the first pick. A lot of drafting is about luck and runs. Luck means the players not having the same draft game plan as you. Runs are the periods in a draft when several players pick the same position, forcing you to take that position or miss out on any level of quality at the position. My longest running league is a 2 QB league. With 10 teams the run on QBs is swift and bloody. You need three in order to survive the bye week, and most players go for 4, just to create a situation where an opponent only has 1 QB to play at all.
Outside of runs, the value in a non-ppr league is the RBs. Though most teams are moving to a pass first offense, even the team that rushed the least rushed 31% of the time, with the majority of those runs split between two backs. It gets better. 20 teams rushed at least 40% of the time and of those teams 15 relied on a single back to carry the at least 70% of that load. Better still, 8 of the remaining 12 spent money on RBs this offseason, pointing to the possibility that they intend to increase the number of rushes attempted this upcoming season.
So, go QB and then follow up with a solid rusher. Afterwards, let the runs and your luck carry you through.
Some Thoughts:
- I’ve been realizing how valuable something seems if you haven’t had it in a while. On shows like Naked and Afraid when folks haven’t eaten in some time any meal seems like the best ever. The same holds true of sleep if you haven’t had it in a long while. I wonder if the same holds true for speed. I’ve been too slow (and too fat) for some time and as I build the willpower and intention to do what needs to be done I feel like the goal must be the speed. My entire athletic life is predicated on speed and I’m too damn young to have lost so much of it.